@article{TermsofTradeMovementsinMajorIndustrialCountries:658, recid = {658}, author = {Roger, Scott}, title = {Terms of Trade Movements in Major Industrial Countries, 1969-1989}, publisher = {Bank of Canada}, address = {1991}, pages = {1 online resource (15 pages plus tables)}, abstract = {This paper examines absolute and relative terms of trade movements in twelve major industrial countries over the 1969-89 period. The results suggest that simple correlations between movements in a country’s absolute terms of trade and those of world oil and non-oil commodity prices may at times give a very misleading impression of the magnitude, and even the direction, of exchange rate pressures exerted by such commodity price changes. Simple measures of the variability of a country’s absolute terms of trade may also give a biased impression of the costs associated with entering a fixed exchange rate or common currency arrangement. The relative terms of trade measures presented in this paper are designed to overcome these difficulties. The quantitative results and variance/covariance relationships that are obtained from the analysis have considerable intuitive appeal and suggest that the relative terms of trade measures may prove more useful than their absolute counterparts for certain analytic purposes.}, url = {http://www.oar-rao.bank-banque-canada.ca/record/658}, doi = {https://doi.org/10.34989/swp-1991-2}, }