@article{Investment:4250, recid = {4250}, author = {O'Reilly, Brian}, title = {Two Canadian Investment Outlook Surveys: An Overview and a Review}, publisher = {Bank of Canada}, address = {1980}, pages = {1 online resource (ii, 82 pages)}, abstract = {In this report the author studies the forecasting performances of Statistics Canada's Private and Public Investment Survey and the Industry, Trade and Commerce Large Corporation Investment Survey. The aims are to discern any effects of systematic biases and to find evidence of a link between the forecasts and final outturns of both surveys and the actual evolution of aggregate economic activity. In order to do this, various descriptive statistics including regression results, all based on growth rates calculated from the survey data, are presented and analyzed for different subperiods. The results suggest that certain systematic deviations between investment intentions reported by survey participants and final investment outturns do exist at each of the various stages of both surveys. In addition, with respect to the Statistics Canada survey, there appears to be some relationship between these biases and the cyclical stages of economic activity.}, url = {http://www.oar-rao.bank-banque-canada.ca/record/4250}, doi = {https://doi.org/10.34989/tr-21}, }