@article{DataandCodefor:Ambiguity:4224, recid = {4224}, author = {Zhao, Guihai}, title = {Data and Code for: Ambiguity, Nominal Bond Yields, and Real Bond Yields}, publisher = {American Economic Association}, address = {2020-05-28}, abstract = {his paper presents an equilibrium bond-pricing model that jointly explains the upward-sloping nominal and real yield curves and the violation of the expectations hypothesis. Instead of relying on the inflation risk premium, the ambiguity-averse agent faces different amounts of Knightian uncertainty in the long run versus the short run; hence the model-implied nominal and real short rate expectations are upward-sloping under the agent's worst-case equilibrium beliefs. The expectations hypothesis roughly holds under investors' worst-case beliefs. The difference between the worst-case scenario and the true distribution makes realized excess returns on long-term bonds predictable. <p> <p> Data and code for peer-reviewed article published in American Economic Review: Insights.}, url = {http://www.oar-rao.bank-banque-canada.ca/record/4224}, doi = {https://doi.org/10.3886/E111685V1}, }