@article{Risk-Return:1676, recid = {1676}, author = {Ghysels, Eric and Guérin, Pierre and Marcellino, Massimiliano}, title = {Regime Switches in the Risk-Return Trade-Off}, address = {2013}, pages = {1 online resource (45 pages)}, abstract = {This paper deals with the estimation of the risk-return trade-off. We use a MIDAS model for the conditional variance and allow for possible switches in the risk-return relation through a Markov-switching specification. We find strong evidence for regime changes in the risk-return relation. This finding is robust to a large range of specifications. In the first regime characterized by low ex-post returns and high volatility, the risk-return relation is reversed, whereas the intuitive positive risk-return trade-off holds in the second regime. The first regime is interpreted as a “flight-to-quality” regime.}, url = {http://www.oar-rao.bank-banque-canada.ca/record/1676}, doi = {https://doi.org/10.34989/swp-2013-51}, }