@article{Expectations:1669, recid = {1669}, author = {Kryvtsov, Oleksiy and Petersen, Luba}, title = {Expectations and Monetary Policy: Experimental Evidence}, address = {2013}, pages = {1 online resource (70 pages)}, abstract = {The effectiveness of monetary policy depends, to a large extent, on market expectations of its future actions. In a standard New Keynesian business-cycle model with rational expectations, systematic monetary policy reduces the variance of inflation and the output gap by at least two-thirds. These stabilization benefits can be substantially smaller if expectations are non-rational. We design an economic experiment that identifies the contribution of expectations to macroeconomic stabilization achieved by systematic monetary policy. We find that, despite some non-rational component in expectations formed by experiment participants, monetary policy is quite potent in providing stabilization, reducing macroeconomic variance by roughly half.}, url = {http://www.oar-rao.bank-banque-canada.ca/record/1669}, doi = {https://doi.org/10.34989/swp-2013-44}, }