@article{Price-Level:1523, recid = {1523}, author = {Cateau, Gino and Kryvtsov, Oleksiy and Shukayev, Malik and Ueberfeldt, Alexander}, title = {Adopting Price-Level Targeting under Imperfect Credibility in ToTEM}, address = {2009}, pages = {1 online resource (iii 30 pages)}, abstract = {Using the Bank of Canada's main projection and policy-analysis model, ToTEM, this paper measures the welfare gains of switching from inflation targeting to price-level targeting under imperfect credibility. Following the policy change, private agents assign a probability to the event that the policy-maker will revert to inflation-targeting next period. As this probability decreases and imperfect credibility abates, inflation expectations in the economy become consistent with price-level targeting. The paper finds a large welfare gain when imperfect credibility is short-lived. The gain becomes smaller with persisting imperfect credibility, turning to a loss if it lasts more than 13 years.}, url = {http://www.oar-rao.bank-banque-canada.ca/record/1523}, doi = {https://doi.org/10.34989/swp-2009-17}, }