@article{Interpretation:1418, recid = {1418}, author = {Kozicki, Sharon and Tinsley, P. A.}, title = {Perhaps the FOMC Did What It Said It Did: An Alternative Interpretation of the Great Inflation}, publisher = {Bank of Canada}, address = {2007}, pages = {1 online resource (iii, 41 pages)}, abstract = {This paper uses real-time briefing forecasts prepared for the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) to provide estimates of historical changes in the design of U.S. monetary policy and in the implied central-bank target for inflation. Empirical results support a description of policy with an effective inflation target of roughly 7 percent in the 1970s. Moreover, the evidence suggests that mismeasurement of the degree of economic slack was largely irrelevant for explaining the Great Inflation while favouring a passive-policy description of monetary policy. FOMC transcripts provide a neglected interpretation of the source of passive policy–intermediate targeting of monetary aggregates.}, url = {http://www.oar-rao.bank-banque-canada.ca/record/1418}, doi = {https://doi.org/10.34989/swp-2007-19}, }